Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.000017 0.000019 0.000021 0.000024 0.000027 0.000031 0.000035
2025-01-05 0.000014 0.000016 0.000020 0.000024 0.000030 0.000037 0.000048
2025-01-12 0.000012 0.000014 0.000018 0.000024 0.000031 0.000042 0.000060
2025-01-19 0.000010 0.000013 0.000017 0.000023 0.000033 0.000047 0.000074
2025-01-26 0.000009 0.000012 0.000016 0.000023 0.000034 0.000053 0.000091
2025-02-02 0.000009 0.000012 0.000016 0.000023 0.000036 0.000060 0.000113
2025-02-09 0.000008 0.000011 0.000015 0.000023 0.000038 0.000066 0.000135
2025-02-16 0.000007 0.000010 0.000015 0.000023 0.000040 0.000073 0.000167
2025-02-23 0.000007 0.000010 0.000015 0.000024 0.000042 0.000083 0.000212
2025-03-02 0.000007 0.000010 0.000015 0.000024 0.000045 0.000094 0.000268
2025-03-09 0.000006 0.000009 0.000014 0.000024 0.000046 0.000102 0.000323
2025-03-16 0.000006 0.000009 0.000014 0.000024 0.000047 0.000110 0.000389
2025-03-23 0.000006 0.000009 0.000014 0.000024 0.000049 0.000122 0.000495
2025-03-30 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000024 0.000051 0.000135 0.000637
2025-04-06 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000024 0.000052 0.000144 0.000777
2025-04-13 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000024 0.000053 0.000155 0.000973
2025-04-20 0.000005 0.000007 0.000012 0.000023 0.000054 0.000168 0.001260
2025-04-27 0.000005 0.000007 0.000012 0.000024 0.000057 0.000189 0.001778
2025-05-04 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000024 0.000058 0.000205 0.002388
2025-05-11 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000024 0.000061 0.000230 0.003587
2025-05-18 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000024 0.000065 0.000268 0.006255
2025-05-25 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000025 0.000068 0.000307 0.011427
2025-06-01 0.000004 0.000006 0.000012 0.000025 0.000070 0.000335 0.019278